investors-react-badly-to-hindalcos-bid-for-novelis

Investors react badly to Hindalco's bid for Novelis

The $6 billion Novelis acquisition by Kumar Mangalam Birla company Hindalco evokes a mixed response from analysts and shareholders.
Indian companies are on an M&A spree and the stakes are getting bigger and bigger. On Sunday (February 11), Kumar Mangalam Birla announced that Hindalco Industries would takeover Novelis of Canada in an all cash deal at an enterprise value of $6 billion. Investors responded on Monday by pushing the share price down by 14%.

The deal includes the assumption of $2.4 billion worth of debt, of which $1 billion is term debt and the balance is high-yield loans. Novelis equity shareholders will receive $44.93 per share. The board of Novelis is unanimously recommending the deal to shareholders and believes it ôdelivers outstanding value to Novelis shareholdersö.

To guard against a competing bid, a $100 million break-fee is payable to Hindalco in the event the deal is derailed. Further, as per terms agreed, 66.66% of Novelis shareholders present and voting must tender their shares for Hindalco to proceed with the deal and squeeze-out the remaining minority shareholders.

Novelis was created in 2004 when Canadian Alcan spun off the ferroalloy division it acquired when it bought Pechiney. It has a global market share of about 19% in aluminium rolled products and aluminium can recycling, and supplies aluminium sheet and foil to the automotive and transportation, beverage, food packaging, construction, industrial and printing markets.

Hindalco is a low-cost producer of primary aluminium. The deal represents a forward integration play for Hindalco which operates aluminium and copper smelters, a move most analysts viewed favourably. However, analysts commented that the benefits of acquiring the currently loss-making Novelis would take time to kick in.

Novelis had confirmed to investors in January that it was in potential takeover discussions and its share had spiked 24% that day from $30.38 to $37.53. It closed on Friday at $38.54.

As was the case with Tata Steel and Corus, HindalcoÆs target is, in revenue terms, a multiple of its size and catapults it into a different league. For the last fiscal year (ended March 31, 2006) Hindalco had revenues of $2.6 billion and Novelis had revenues of $8.4 billion (for calendar 2005).

Investors have reacted negatively to the increased leverage on HindalcoÆs balance sheet, and the potential integration issues attendant with a company the size of Novelis. Hindalco shares lost 14% on the NSE to hit Rs149 ($3.39), just 7% shy of its 52-week low of Rs138.

UBS was the financial adviser to Hindalco.
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